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okenso [2025/02/06 16:42] adminokenso [2025/02/06 16:54] (current) admin
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-=== La Nina and Oklahoma Summer Precipitation ===+==== La Nina and Oklahoma Summer Precipitation ====
  
 //from 2012?// //from 2012?//
-== NCEP analysis ==+=== NCEP analysis ===
 Figures are from:  Figures are from: 
 [[http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ENSO/composites/EC_LNP_index.shtml | ENSO Temperature & Precipitation Composites]] [[http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ENSO/composites/EC_LNP_index.shtml | ENSO Temperature & Precipitation Composites]]
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 {{:elnino.jja.precip.gif}} {{:elnino.jja.precip.gif}}
 ------ ------
-== Reinvestigate NCEP data ==+=== Reinvestigate NCEP data ===
  
 Obtain daily data from [[ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/precip/CPC_UNI_PRCP/GAUGE_CONUS/]] for years 1948 through 2010. (The missing data for day 20070226 was faked by substituting an average of 20070225 and 20070227).  Composite into 756 months. Analyze with Python: Obtain daily data from [[ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/precip/CPC_UNI_PRCP/GAUGE_CONUS/]] for years 1948 through 2010. (The missing data for day 20070226 was faked by substituting an average of 20070225 and 20070227).  Composite into 756 months. Analyze with Python:
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-The average t-value in the box is {{{t=-1.25}}}.  The t-value of average rain in the box is {{{t=-1.55}}}, and {{{p=.07}}}.  The fraction of the valid data area that lies within the box is {{{f=0.048}}}.  Note that in my [[http://tinyurl.com/windfarm-precip | windfarm study]] I looked for {{{p<.05f}}} to declare significance. Some details of the statistical analysis will appear below.+The average t-value in the box is ''t=-1.25''.  The t-value of average rain in the box is ''t=-1.55'', and ''p=.07''.  The fraction of the valid data area that lies within the box is ''f=0.048''.  Note that in my [[http://tinyurl.com/windfarm-precip | windfarm study]] I looked for ''p<.05'' to declare significance. Some details of the statistical analysis will appear below.
  
 ------ ------
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 </file>   </file>  
  
-=== kick 1950 out as La Nina year ===+== kick 1950 out as La Nina year ==
  
 <file> <file>
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 </file> </file>
  
-== Climate Forecasting and Monitoring Links ==+=== Climate Forecasting and Monitoring Links ===
  
  
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 On 5 June 2012: [[http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ | Australia ENSO wrap-up]] states: ''No climate models favour a return to La Niña.'' As of 16 June 2012, [[http://climate.ok.gov/index.php/drought/year_to_date/oklahoma_south-central_u.s | OCS drought monitoring]] shows no drought this year in Oklahoma. On 5 June 2012: [[http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ | Australia ENSO wrap-up]] states: ''No climate models favour a return to La Niña.'' As of 16 June 2012, [[http://climate.ok.gov/index.php/drought/year_to_date/oklahoma_south-central_u.s | OCS drought monitoring]] shows no drought this year in Oklahoma.
  
-== Appendix == +=== Appendix === 
-<file>+<file txt rainbox.txt >
 # in the following: st=1 -> La Nina , st=-1-> El Nino # in the following: st=1 -> La Nina , st=-1-> El Nino
 # delta is the JJA anomaly in units of 0.1 mm  # delta is the JJA anomaly in units of 0.1 mm 
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 2010 1  295.32 2010 1  295.32
 </file> </file>
-{{:rainbox.txt}}+
  
okenso.1738881773.txt.gz · Last modified: 2025/02/06 16:42 by admin

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